William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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ONE DAY TO GO - AT 7:44 A.M. ET:  The last full day of campaigning is about to begin.  Some final polls are already out, with others expected later in the day.

Most interesting is a PPP (leans left) poll in Washington state showing Dino Rossi up two over Senator Patty Murray.

A PPP poll in Illinois shows Republican Mark Kirk up four over Dem candidate Giannoulias.  PPP in California, though, still has Barbara Boxer with a four-point lead over Carly Fiorina.  But RealClearPolitics has that race as a toss up.

RealClearPolitics is showing an average projected gain for Republicans in the House as a whopping 67 seats.  Well, we'll hope, but we'll see.

We are looking for any last-minute polls in Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Delaware, which will be among the first states to come in tomorrow night.  If the GOP can win Robert Byrd's old Senate seat in West Virginia, the party has a shot at taking the Senate, assuming Pennsylvania also goes our way.  If both states go Dem, however, the Republicans can hope only for some significant gains in the Senate.  Delaware is more a curiosity.  How close can Christine O'Donnell actually come on election day?  So far, she's sliced Chris Coons's lead in half, but she's running out of time.

From every report we've seen, this is the most energized midterm election of our era.  One key question:  Has President Obama's constant (and at times, unseemly) campaigning been enough to turn out a good chunk of the Democratic base.  Two days from right now we'll know the answer and we'll be writing about it.

November 1, 2010